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Once Again All Rates But 1-Year ARM Hit Yet Another Record Low

The 15-year FRM this week averaged 4.04 percent with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.13 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.77 percent.

The 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 3.79 percent this week, with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.84 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 4.88 percent.

The 1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 3.80 percent this week with an average 0.7 point, up from last week when it averaged 3.77 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 4.94 percent.

(Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total cost of obtaining the mortgage.)

“Interest rates on fixed-rate mortgages and the 5-year hybrid ARM fell once again to all-time record lows this week in a period where the economy struggles to gain momentum and inflation remains very low,” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. “Growth estimates for first quarter GDP were revised down by a half percentage point over the past two months to 2.7 percent, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Annual inflation, as measured by the 12-month change in the core CPI, held at 0.9 percent in April and May, which is the slowest pace in over 44 years, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

“Meanwhile, house prices are improving due in part to the homebuyer tax credit. The S&P/Case-Shiller® 20-city home price index grew 0.4 percent between March and April and was up 3.9 percent from April 2009, representing the largest annual gain since October 2006. Moreover, 17 of the metropolitan areas experienced monthly gains in April, compared to 10 in March and six in February.”

Freddie Mac was established by Congress in 1970 to provide liquidity, stability and affordability to the nation's residential mortgage markets. Freddie Mac supports communities across the nation by providing mortgage capital to lenders. Over the years, Freddie Mac has made home possible for one in six homebuyers and more than five million renters.

OAKLAND, Calif. – July 29, 2010 – Emily Rennie’s three-bedroom house in Oakland was a beauty in a sweet location. Walking distance to the lakeshore. Close to shops. A refurbished patio in the back. Inside, a modern kitchen with granite countertops.

Listed at $539,000 when she put it on the market, the Excelsior Avenue house was missing one crucial thing: The right price. After a few weeks with no offers, she cut the price to $499,000 in May. Then she cut it to $475,000 in June. She is still hoping for an offer.

Rennie is discovering the cold reality of post-housing-bust prices: No matter what she thinks her house is worth, what matters is what buyers are willing to pay. That can be a lot less in areas where the supply of houses for sale is swollen by foreclosures and short sales, often priced 20% to 30% below the ones being sold by financially healthy owners. Nationally, such properties account for a third of all sales three years after a historic chill blew over an overheated housing market.

Foreclosures “do make it harder to sell,” acknowledges Rennie, who works in marketing communications. “People can get a really good deal.”

Real estate professionals say Rennie is in good company. Nationally, 30% of the houses for sale were reduced in price in June, according to Zillow.com, an online real estate site. Plenty of sellers have trouble pricing their home against the foreclosed houses that lenders are trying to unload.

“It’s one of the hardest things for sellers to do. They have an emotional attachment to their house,” says Amy Bohutinsky, a spokeswoman for Zillow.com. “For sellers to understand how they should price, they should deeply understand their market and competition -- what’s on the market now, not just what’s sold.”

Those who do that successfully don’t have a problem.

“People who price their homes to the market are selling them in a reasonable amount of time, but people who cling to 2004 or 2005 prices aren’t,” says Richard Smith, president and CEO of Realogy, the parent company of Century 21, ERA, Coldwell Banker and Sotheby’s International Realty. “If you take into account (bank-owned property) pressures, you’ll sell pretty quickly.”

Competition for bargains

Oakland and nearby San Francisco are two markets where foreclosures have a strong influence.

Nearly three of every 1,000 homeowners in Oakland lost their homes to foreclosure in May, according to Zillow. Foreclosure resales made up 36% of all sales in May, although that’s down from a peak of 66% in March 2009.

Sellers have had to adjust. In June, 20% of the properties for sale in Oakland made price cuts, according to Zillow.com, compared with 15% in May. Drawn by falling prices, young professionals from San Francisco are coming across the bay to snap up homes in Oakland, and most of the stiffest competition for properties is in the top tier, around $808,000.

At that price, sellers in May paid 0.1% less than the asking price, according to Zillow. In all price ranges, they paid 0.3% less than asking price. Based on the median list price, that’s $1,080 less than the last listing price.

But some agents are seeing bidding wars.

“We’re seeing multiple offers; we’re seeing above asking price,” says David Kerr, a ZipRealty agent who represents buyers and sellers in Oakland. “People are buying foreclosures, fixing them up and selling them and getting offers.”

Those who do take foreclosures into account and price their homes right cannot only find a buyer, but sometimes one who will pay well above what they’re asking.

One such buyer was Rosa Verdin, 40, who bought a restored Victorian in north Oakland from a developer in May. The asking price was $450,000, which was well-priced, she says. She and her partner, Kelly Helms, 32, a nurse, offered $50,000 more, outbidding at least two other parties.

“We had been looking for six to eight months,” says Verdin, 40, who works in graphic arts. “The location was centrally located to our work, the house was move-in ready and within our price points. Timing just seemed right, and the decision was relatively easy.”

Not all offers go so smoothly. Even when owners find willing buyers, getting their price isn’t a sure thing. Lenders generally require appraisals before giving a mortgage, and appraisers often take into account what foreclosed properties in the area sell for when determining how much a home is worth. If a home is being sold at too high a price, the sale can fall apart.

“Every day, sales fall apart,” says Leslie Sellers, with the Appraisal Institute. “Smart sellers get appraisals done before they sell the home.”

Neighborhoods buck trend

Other neighborhoods also show just how well good prices pull in successful offers.

In the heart of San Francisco, Noe Valley is home to dot-com millionaires and working professionals. The streets are lined with Edwardian and grand Victorian row houses built in the late 19th century, and the neighborhood, flanked by hills, features an eclectic array of coffee shops, sushi restaurants and lively bookshops.

The real estate market in San Francisco is struggling to regain its footing, with home prices down 0.7% from the third quarter of 2009 to the first quarter of this year. But in Noe Valley, most homes are going just above listing price. In May, homes sold for an average of 0.02% more than the last listing price, according to Zillow.com. Based on median list price, that translates into $218 more.

“It’s crazy,” says Brendon DeSimone, a Realtor with Paragon Real Estate in San Francisco, who represents buyers and sellers in Noe Valley. “I had one house with five offers, and it went from $1.4 million to $1.7 million. The valley has just popped. It’s not uncommon for one open house to have 200 people come through.”

Nationally, the average property takes eight to nine weeks to sell, down from 10 to 11 weeks a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors. In Noe Valley in May, there were 25 listings that sold after averaging five weeks on the market.

As the overall housing market has tumbled, Noe Valley has take a hit, with home values down 17% from their peak in June 2008, according to Zillow.com. In the neighborhood, about 5% of home sales in March were foreclosure resales.

But Noe Valley remains a hot neighborhood for several reasons. Other neighborhoods such as Pacific Heights and the Marina District have already been in such demand that prices are often out of reach for younger families, DeSimone says. Noe Valley remains more affordable but still has the kind of row houses desired by families.

It’s also closer to Silicon Valley than other neighborhoods in northern San Francisco, which shaves off about 20 to 30 minutes of commuting time (Google and Apple both have bus stops in Noe Valley). And many buyers want historic Victorians, so demand for homes in the neighborhood is strong.

That’s why, when homes are priced well, they can set off a bidding frenzy -- even in an anemic real estate market.

Copyright © 2010 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Co. Inc., Stephanie Armour.

WASHINGTON – July 20, 2010 – Fannie Mae announced last week that it is reviewing the rule it put in place earlier this year requiring lenders to do a second credit check shortly before closing.

The goal of the rule is to identify new debt that might undermine an applicant’s ability to pay, but for both homebuyers and lenders, the second check is problematic. The search can uncover a short-term debt – medical bills that insurance is likely to pay – that would nevertheless derail a purchase.

“We keep telling people: ‘Don’t open new accounts. Don’t close existing accounts. Don’t do anything whatsoever that will alter your credit situation,’” says Eric Gates, a mortgage broker for Apex Home Loans. “But there will be people who can’t avoid increasing their credit card balances, or already have, and that’s where the problems will crop up.”

Lenders are particularly concerned about the rule because Fannie can require them to buy back loans in default up to two years after closing if there is evidence that the borrower had more debt than was disclosed at the time of closing.

Source: Washington Post, Dina ElBoghdady (07/16/2010

WASHINGTON – July 14, 2010 – The special inspector general for the financial bailout will examine how 10 states were selected for a $2.1 billion Obama administration plan to aid areas hit by the housing bust.

Bailout watchdog Neil Barofsky is performing the audit in response to a request by Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif., according to a letter released Tuesday by Issa’s office.

The Treasury Department has been running the government’s “Hardest-Hit” fund, which is stocked with financial rescue money.

Barofsky also plans to examine whether state-designed programs that are receiving assistance differ from existing government efforts, the letter indicates. He also plans to examine whether Treasury has established ways to prevent waste and fraud and whether the government has established goals and measurements for the programs.

In response, a Treasury spokesman said in an e-mail that, “We look forward to discussing the progress in the administration’s efforts to assist those areas hardest hit by home price declines and concentrated foreclosures.”

President Barack Obama unveiled the state assistance effort in February. Since then, state agencies have designed their own approaches. They vary by state, but many provide aid to unemployed homeowners, or “under water” borrowers who owe more on their properties than their homes are worth.

Last month, the Treasury Department approved plans for half of the states getting funding through the program – Arizona, California, Florida, Michigan and Nevada. The states, which were picked because they experienced at least a 20 percent decline in home prices, estimate that their plans will help up to 93,000 homeowners.

Besides these states, the Obama administration is providing an additional $600 million in financial support to help homeowners in states with high rates of unemployment. Those states – Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina, Oregon and Rhode Island – have submitted plans to the Treasury Department. They are still being reviewed.
Copyright 2010 The Associated Press, Alan Zibel (AP Real Estate Writer). All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

NEW YORK – July 13, 2010 – The credit scores of millions more Americans are sinking to new lows.

Figures provided by FICO Inc. show that 25.5 percent of consumers – almost 43.4 million Americans – now have credit scores of 599 or below, marking them as poor risks for lenders. It is unlikely they will be able to get credit cards, auto loans or mortgages under the tighter lending standards banks now use.

Because consumers relied so heavily on debt to fuel their spending in recent years, their restricted access to credit is one reason for the slow economic recovery.

“I don’t get paid for loan applications; I get paid for closings,” said Ritch Workman, a Melbourne, Florida, mortgage broker. “I have plenty of business, but I’m struggling to stay open.”

FICO’s latest analysis is based on consumer credit reports as of April. Its findings represent an increase of about 2.4 million people in the lowest credit score categories in the past two years. Before the Great Recession, scores on FICO’s 300-to-850 scale were not as volatile, said Andrew Jennings, chief research officer for FICO in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Historically, just 15 percent of the 170 million consumers with active credit accounts, or 25.5 million people, fell below 599, according to data posted on Myfico.com.

More are likely to join their ranks. It can take several months before payment missteps actually drive down a credit score. The Labor Department says about 26 million people are out of work or underemployed, and millions more face foreclosure, which alone can chop 150 points off an individual’s score. Once the damage is done, it could be years before this group can restore their scores, even if they had strong credit histories in the past.

On the positive side, the number of consumers who have a top score of 800 or above has increased in recent years. At least in part, this reflects that more individuals have cut spending and paid down debt in response to the recession. Their ranks now stand at 17.9 percent, which is notably above the historical average of 13 percent, although down from 18.7 percent in April 2008 before the market meltdown.

There also has been a notable shift in the important range of people with moderate credit, those with scores between 650 and 699. The new data show that this group comprises 11.9 percent of scores. This is down only marginally from 12 percent in 2008 but reflects a drop of roughly 5.3 million people from its historical average of 15 percent.

This group is significant because it may feel the effects of lenders’ tighter credit standards the most, said FICO’s Jennings. Consumers on the lowest end of the scale are less likely to try to borrow. However, people with midrange scores that would have made them eligible for credit before the meltdown are looking to buy homes or cars but finding it hard to qualify for affordable loans.

Workman has seen this firsthand.

A customer with a score of 679 recently walked away from buying a house because he could not get the best interest rate on a $100,000 mortgage. Had his score been 680, the rate he was offered would have been a half-percent lower. The difference was only about $31 per month, but over a 30-year mortgage would have added up to more than $11,000.

“There was nothing derogatory on his credit report,” Workman said of the customer. He had, however, recently gotten an auto loan, which probably lowered his score.

Studies have shown FICO scores are generally reliable predictions of consumer payment behavior, but Workman’s experience points to one drawback of credit scoring: lenders cannot differentiate between two people with the same score. Another consumer might have a 679 score because of several late payments, which could indicate he or she is a bigger repayment risk.

On a broader scale, some of the spike in foreclosures came about because homeowners were financially irresponsible, while others lost their jobs and could no longer pay their mortgages. Yet both reasons for foreclosures have the same impact on a borrower’s FICO score.

In the past too much credit was handed out based on scores alone, without considering how much debt consumers could pay back, said Edmund Tribue, a senior vice president in the credit risk practice at MasterCard Advisors. Now the ability to repay the debt is a critical part of the lending decision.

Workman still thinks credit scores alone play too big a role. “The pendulum has swung too far,” he said. “We absolutely swung way too far in the liberal lending, but did we have to swing so far back the other way?”
Copyright 2010 The Associated Press, Eileen Connelly (AP Personal Finance Writer). All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

ORLANDO, Fla. – July 6, 2010 – With more than half of the Central Florida’s homeowners owing more for their homes than the properties are worth, the question for some has become: How do I get out of this?

Of all the existing-home sales reported by Realtors in the core Orlando market in May, 23 percent were short sales. They are called “short” sales because the sales price come up “short” of, or less than, the amount owed on the mortgage.

What these homeowners, whose loans are “underwater,” may not realize is that they could successfully complete a short sale of their house but then face a lawsuit from their lender for not paying off the entire loan, a shortfall known as a “deficiency.”

At particular risk of being hit with such a debt judgment are owners of second homes and investment properties, homeowners who haven’t faced any kind of financial hardship, and owners who have a second mortgage.

“That’s going to be a huge problem moving forward in the next few years,” said Orlando lawyer Matt Englett, who specializes in home foreclosures. “These people who use Realtors to advise them on the transactions can end up facing deficiencies, and the deficiency notes will go to third-party collections agencies, and they will start suing and progressively pursuing those people.”

Homeowners have several options if they wish to avoid getting calls and lawsuits from debt collectors.

In a mortgage document called the “payoff letter,” a lender may include a blanket provision stating that it reserves the right to sue the seller at any time for unpaid mortgage debt. At the very least, Englett said, sellers need to make sure they do not give lenders that right.

Some lenders, particularly smaller ones, have been willing to state just the opposite -- that they will not pursue any mortgage debt from the seller, he added.

Simply asking the lenders to cooperate by removing any wording about collections isn’t enough, Englett said. The seller is usually faced with building a case that details errors and omissions made by the lender in its mortgage documents, to gain leverage and force the lender to forgive the debt.

A new option that emerged in June is a federal program that calls on banks to forgive some of the mortgage debt of certain, qualified short-sale sellers. To qualify, sellers must:

Meet the criteria of the federal government’s Home Affordable Modification Program.

Have the house as their primary residence.

Face a financial hardship, and their mortgage payment must be more than 31 percent of their gross income.

The new program makes short sales a good option for homeowners facing a financial hardship, though it’s not meant for homeowners who can afford their mortgage but want to walk away from an upside-down loan, said Frank Rubino, vice president of the Chase Homeownership Center in Orlando.

“It’s not right. It’s not moral. It’s not the right thing to do,” Rubino said. “Why should customers look to the bank to substantiate a loss for the house they bought? ... If they bought the house and sold it for $100,000 more than they paid, they wouldn’t share those profits with the bank.”

The decision of whether to pursue a former homeowner for outstanding debt varies from mortgage servicer to mortgage servicer, Rubino said, and can hinge on such things as whether the customer mismanaged his or her finances, Rubino said.

Sellers with a second mortgage face particular challenges if they try to walk away from a short sale without any remaining debt.

Jennifer Davis, a real estate agent for Lifestyles Home Sales Inc. of St. Cloud, said she recently almost lost a sale because of outstanding debt the seller owed on the house. Fortunately, she said, the buyer wanted the house badly enough to cover the outstanding note.

Banks usually have four years in which to file a deficiency judgment, but they can sell it to a third-party collection agency -- “and the collection firms can chase you down for 20 years,” Davis said.

In cases where the seller has a second mortgage or can’t qualify for the federal programs, Davis said, she usually directs them to a real estate lawyer and a tax adviser.

Copyright © 2010, The Orlando Sentinel, Fla., Mary Shanklin, Knight Ridder/Tribune Business News. Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.